michmarc
Well-Known Member
Aside from the issues that have been pointed out about how there are too few candies awarded to fully upgrade the grand prize, I have noticed another problem.
I keep a spreadsheet of the chests I've opened in these events. (It started out as a lazy way to "remember" which chest to open out of the three choices, but then it grew into a whole bunch of stat tracking.) I noticed that the chests are not offered with equal frequency.
There are 9 chests so you would expect that each chest would show up 11% of the time. And in the past, the actual measured percentage was narrowly focused between 10% and 12% (natural random variance).
This event, they are very lopsided and curiously, they bias is right down the lines of quality: The very best chest for getting artifacts is the 18 candy chest. That only appears 9% of the time for me -- the lowest of all of the chests. The worst chest (50 candy) appears a whopping 15% of the time, followed closely by the two 25 candy chests (13% each*). This is with 129 "rounds" (387 chests).
This bias greatly compounds the inability to reach a fully-evolved building.
[* My spreadsheet uses cost to index things which means that I can't distinguish between the two 25 candy chests in my notes. But because they are almost equally bad, I didn't put in any effort to fix this.]
[Me: I got 6 artifacts and I might get a 7th with the remaining 5 daily quests since I have only 7 more flags to get. This is the first event since I started the game in Carnival 2019 that I haven't been able to complete the grand prize.]
I keep a spreadsheet of the chests I've opened in these events. (It started out as a lazy way to "remember" which chest to open out of the three choices, but then it grew into a whole bunch of stat tracking.) I noticed that the chests are not offered with equal frequency.
There are 9 chests so you would expect that each chest would show up 11% of the time. And in the past, the actual measured percentage was narrowly focused between 10% and 12% (natural random variance).
This event, they are very lopsided and curiously, they bias is right down the lines of quality: The very best chest for getting artifacts is the 18 candy chest. That only appears 9% of the time for me -- the lowest of all of the chests. The worst chest (50 candy) appears a whopping 15% of the time, followed closely by the two 25 candy chests (13% each*). This is with 129 "rounds" (387 chests).
This bias greatly compounds the inability to reach a fully-evolved building.
[* My spreadsheet uses cost to index things which means that I can't distinguish between the two 25 candy chests in my notes. But because they are almost equally bad, I didn't put in any effort to fix this.]
[Me: I got 6 artifacts and I might get a 7th with the remaining 5 daily quests since I have only 7 more flags to get. This is the first event since I started the game in Carnival 2019 that I haven't been able to complete the grand prize.]