I don't disagree with much there. It doesn't matter. The number of people who can get extra enjoyment out of planning for an extra couple of days (but don't already have more than that extra couple of days because they are not paying attention to what's happening on the beta server) vs the number of people who will get even more pleasure if they are forced to plan more quickly because they didn't know it was coming and thrive under pressure, combined with the vast majority who couldn't give a flying red fire-truck, is negligible. I doubt if there are 5 people who would get more enjoyment out of the event with more than two days warning who don't already get it by watching beta or having someone else tell them about beta. You were certainly aware of it two weeks ago. Did you not inform your team that it was coming? I don't believe there were very many people who care about the FAs but didn't know two weeks ago that one was coming this week.
And if it comes up as a suggestion, I'll vote against it, because I think we should have no warning at all. I don't think the people who want to rearrange their fellowship to bring their more competitive FA cities into play should get the chance. I think the FA should start with no hints and with the membership locked in place for the duration. No joining, no quitting, no kicking. Let the logistics people enjoy making a successful FA with who they've got.
First, as you say, "no warning" would certainly be more enjoyable to those who "thrive under pressure." I'm not sure if that would mean less enjoyment for more players or more enjoyment for more players. As you imply, we really don't know the numbers so we have to rely upon anecdotal information and reason. My thinking is that there are an awful lot of fellowships use various spreadsheets and are very organized which would imply they either want/need the warning (whether from Beta or from notifications), and enjoy the "planning and logisitics" part of the event. I'm willing to bet that those fellowships would rather have a more precise warning than not. Not sure how to measure people who "thrive under pressure," and want "no warning." And as for the "vast majority who couldn't give a flying red fire-truck" again, we are in the land of speculation. I'm not aware of any way to measure this other than look to see how many participate in the FA and how many don't. One would argue that those who don't play, don't care, and thus don't care how much or what kind of warning is given or not. But that's hardly a measure of if the warning should or should be more specific.
The premise of your remarks has been that "no warning" beats "warning," and that by watching Beta we are getting all the warning we need. At least that's my take. The idea of "no warning" I've already addressed, but since there is no set amount of time between Beta launch and main launch, one way to perhaps, "have your cake and eat it too," would be to vary the amount of time between Beta start and live start? I'm sure there's a minimum of a few days, but they could not announce and have people just sit and wait....sort of like what happened this time since the start of Beta was on Friday and nobody knew until the announcement if it would start on Friday or the usual Monday. That added some "pressure" under which some could "thrive" more.
I agree with the idea of limiting the moving around. Perhaps when Beta starts the rosters are locked. People could leave, but not join (which would negate the point of leaving for many). Or they could leave and join but the FA would not work on anybody who joined after the start of Beta. Of course, I have to admit we do bring players in for the FA. Usually some local neighbor who is active but hasn't joined an fs, if I have an opening, gets invited for the FA. I like the idea of letting solo players experience things they might not get the chance to since they are playing solo. But that's my preference.
I would suggest that if you think it would be better to have "no warning" you might like to suggest that as a separate thread since here we are voting on more precise warning, not "no warning." Just a thought.
Good remarks as usual.
AJ