I have a province where I scouted a couple of rings into the red, and it took 4 chapters to reach a remotely reasonable setting. The few provinces left in this ring are all blue and have been since prior to unlocking scout, but this one is locked in at ridiculous rates and just hit yellow last week!
I know this one poster bills himself as an original player (or second gen), but the advice given is not feasible for many players - especially not beginners. Exercise caution especially at the start, is my advice.
My newest city is mid chapter 3 and it's not going to finish the questline, because 4 whole tourney provinces per type cannot possibly get there. I think what we are trying to say is that these events are getting trickier for those without a lot of resources. And with this the case, I am dreading the Bear event, to be honest, it gives powerful Artifacts so will be tough to solve .