Has either of you run any numbers on when the slight MM boost from the ETC is better than simply using that 5x5 space for more factories?
Dude. That's your job.
I often make decisions for other reasons than per-square output. One of them is flexibility. I like that the ETC boosts any factory type I want. If I wanna boost my steel this week for the FA, great. And next week I can boost all my sentient goods. Or only the t6, when I was in ch15. Or whatever.
I'm not gonna attempt a break-even calculation, but I'll tell you what I get out of mine. My ETC is at lvl 12. It boosts my MM spells to 73.75% which last 19+ hrs, and it provides 2888 seeds in 12 hrs.
My best still-available seeds producer is the pond of autumn and it gives me 1060/day. I'll use that as a comparison because I think it's about equal to the FMs which are readily craftable, but which I don't have because they're so darned ugly. Yeah, there's some difference due to the early collect, but the ETC seed output is roughly equal to 5.5 ponds of autumn which would take up about 22 squares ignoring road connections.
So if 22 squares are basically producing seeds, then the remaining 3 squares boost the MM spell. My MM spells last 19+ hours now, so when I apply one, every collection I make in a day is boosted. So if it gets me almost an extra 25% production above the normal MM and I typically apply it to at least 4 factories, then I figure I am getting an entire factory's worth of output in those three squares, right?
With the added benefit of not tying myself to a particular factory type or having to rework my city to teleport in and out differently-shaped things.
I know that math is fuzzy (because I'm perfectly happy with ballparks in a game) but it seems like a winner to me, assuming you've got the KP for it. I like everything it gives me (seeds, goods, flexibility) so I am a fan. It's not on my "must have list" but now that I've got it, it's a keeper.
Feel free to totally tear that apart.