If it ONLY does not exist if you keep about 5 provinces in reserve, then by clear logic it exists but only becomes a non-issue if you keep 5 provinces uncompleted. And once you use 1 or more than by your words the "Orc Wall" suddenly exists?
It is not fearmongering it is education and helping newer players to progress smartly and to avoid some pitfalls along the way.
No education is if you tell something that it's comming and how you can circumvent it. you should also lay down all the options.
The orc wall exists, but it's NOT an issue. Overschouting problems DO NOT EXIST. thats a bogus BS term.
It's never the scouting that it a problem, the scout never hits the orc wall. it;s impossible to hit an orc wall with a scout.
Completing all provinces you have scouted could make you hit the orc wall. it's never the scout thas the issue, it's completing them.
Keeping some provinces in "reserve" (read: do not immedeately complete every scouted provinces) will circumvent the issue of potentially hitting the orc wall. the issue is not and never will be scouting. overschouting does not exist.
So the term you should not overscout, if you overscout you will be stuck in events. your stuck? Hit the orc wall? thats because you overschouted.
Thats creating something out of thin air, that does not exists and creates an athmosphere in which you should really not scout to much. scouting is bad. thats fearmongering.
If you tell a player, be carefull from ring 11 you need orcs to negotiate. so make sure not to complete all provinces that do not require orcs untill you can make orcs. alsways keep some reserve so you arent stuck during an event.
Thats education!!! you inform a player of a potential difficulty and give them a solution and have them make there choice. it's not based on" if you "overschout you will die advise".
And when you do unlock orcs, you immediatly got a lot of pleasurefull provinces to your disposal because you kept scouting. all those scouted provinces that require orcs are now yours to complete. you do not have the scout them anymore.
*sidenote I have completed over 700 provinces and I still have provinces in reserve for when I am in a pinch for events. currently I got 30!!! of them. So even with a scout that takes a week I still use this practise, but I never stop my scout from scouting. not scouting is a waste of time.