Well, I do seem to have exceedingly bad luck during almost every event.
This one, I have spent 25x the 140nut chest in 2 sets (12 and 13 at a time) to get a certain daily prize on one account. The chance of getting it is supposed to be 25% each time. So why did I only get 2 out of 25 tries?
And that happened with the daily prizes on the previous event. That 25% chance for me seems to be only 10% at best as I average not even 1 daily prize per 10-12 attempts.
What also seems to be the case is always getting the stuff that is of least use to me. If the kp's would be nice, I don't get them. Now that I'm at the end of the research tree, I get them about 25% of the time.
If one needs relics for an event-quest, suddenly the daily chests never seem to contain them anymore, and spending the collectibles also was a way of NOT getting them.
I'm not a conspiracy believer, but I really am getting a bit suspicious here
(edited after having been pointed out a mistake here, thanks, I hope this is better)
Btw...same goes for spells. If the event quest tells me to collect a certain amount of spells, suddenly the daily chests never have them anymore, while normally I get at LEAST one a a day. (When, again in compliance with not getting what one wants or needs, normally I don't want them. I have over 100 of every one, EXCEPT the meditation one, which is the one I want, so it can't be found in chests, meaning that's what I normally produce in my MA)